LONG OR SHORT?
Place your bets from June
I love a good prediction, especially when it’s a predict-and-win. It’s all a game of luck or, for those skilled at putting 1 +1 to make 11, a game of mathematics. Whichever side of the coin you fall on, from June, you get to roll the dice in our new segment - Long or Short. (I briefly considered calling it WAGMI-Market… but let’s not make things too obvious 🌚)
Here’s how it works: Each week, you predict where BTC, ETH, or even DOGE will be in the next 7 days. The three closest predictions take home $10 each.
P.s- You have to be subscribed to WAGMI Weekly for your prediction to qualify.
Crypto Tweet of the Week
Signal / Noise /Degeneracy
(How we’re reading the market this week)
Signal - BlackRock’s IBIT saw an estimated $527M in outflows
BlackRock’s IBIT saw about $527M in outflows — one of its biggest single-day redemptions on record — as Bitcoin spot ETFs logged eight straight days of net outflows. Month-to-date? Roughly -$2.07B and counting.
On the surface, that looks like “institutions are exiting Bitcoin.” But like with most things concerning crypto, it is not that simple.
The timing lines up almost perfectly with a hotter-than-expected US PPI print, which forced markets to quickly walk back rate-cut expectations. Suddenly, the “cheaper money = higher risk assets” setup that had been powering the last leg of BTC’s move started to shake a little too much for ETF comfort.
When macro expectations flip that fast, ETF flows are among the first places a sell-off occurs. IBIT is both an exposure vehicle and a liquidity exit door. You don’t need wallets or custody decisions. You just hit sell and move on.
With spot ETFs now holding a meaningful portion of BTC supply, flows like this can actively shape price.
Noise - “Agentic commerce is the future”
Agentic commerce is becoming one of those wonderful, innovative narratives, filled with promise, but nobody really knows what it is. (coughs in the metaverse)
Well, nobody but big corp…PayPal and Google Cloud are now pitching crypto-based payment rails as the backbone of AI agents that can autonomously buy, negotiate, and pay for services. Their pitch is: AI agents can’t open bank accounts, traditional rails weren’t built for machine-to-machine payments, so crypto becomes the “natural” settlement layer.
If we think about it for a minute, based on what we know so far, the math is mathing. AI agents + stablecoins + programmable payments = a new transaction layer.
In practice, however, it’s still mostly infrastructure discussions, protocol proposals, and conference-stage storytelling and slides.
Yes, there are real projects emerging — Coinbase-backed x402, Google’s Universal Commerce Protocol, Stripe and AWS integrations — but most of this ecosystem is still up in the air, being tossed around by multiple large companies trying to own the standard.
And that’s why this is still noise. Everyone is building “the standard,” which usually means no standard exists yet.
All the $3–5T market projections, conference speeches/presentations and PR tweets won’t move anything substantial till agent-driven transactions start showing measurable payment volume.
Degeneracy- Another NFT Floor
Another day, another “this time is different” NFT reveal that ended up disappointing.
The Beaks reveal hit, and went down ~61% in 24 hours, with holders climbing over each other while pretending they’re “taking profit, not panic selling.”
Same Non Fungible Pattern as always...Mint → reveal → reality check → everyone discovers they were collectively holding the same art with different serial numbers → floor adjusts violently to whatever the fastest exit price is.
The post-crash explanation is always the same: “art similarity,” “rarity didn’t hit,” “market conditions.” Okay, bro🥱.
Look. A few people made ~$400 and called it a win. The rest became exit liquidity. Nothing broken here.
The Timeline
(Our favourite CT X posts we saw this week.)
Closing Thoughts
In all they getting, always get the wisdom to know when to exit before you become the exit liquidity.
Have a great weekend.
Until next week,
WAGMI,
Obi.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not financial advice. Do your own research. Seriously.
P.S. If you enjoyed this newsletter, forward it to a friend. If you didn’t, forward it to an enemy.











